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Karpaty Lviv vs Fenix Mariupol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Kyslenko S.
69' Event
Stetskov T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Karpaty Lviv and Fenix Mariupol finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Karpaty Lviv
30%
Draws
31%
Fenix Mariupol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karpaty Lviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Fenix Mariupol haven't matched Karpaty Lviv's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Karpaty Lviv a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 16%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karpaty Lviv Fenix Mariupol
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Karpaty Lviv vs Fenix Mariupol
1:1
May 11, 2024 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Karpaty Lviv
1:2
Apr 6, 2024 Persha Liga
Karpaty Lviv vs Fenix Mariupol
3:1
Oct 16, 2022 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Karpaty Lviv
1:1
Aug 27, 2022 Persha Liga
Karpaty Lviv vs Fenix Mariupol
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karpaty Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Stetskov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fenix Mariupol Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyslenko S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karpaty Lviv 39 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karpaty Lviv Fenix Mariupol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karpaty Lviv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karpaty Lviv's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fenix Mariupol let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Karpaty Lviv stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karpaty Lviv VS Fenix Mariupol
2 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karpaty Lviv

(Home)
03 Oct
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
20 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1
Veres Rivne
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
11 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2
Karpaty Lviv
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2
Shakhtar
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Fenix Mariupol

(Away)
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
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