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Karpaty Lviv vs Obolon Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup Ukraina Stadium, Lviv
Karpaty Lviv Logo

Karpaty Lviv

2 - 0
FT
Obolon Logo

Obolon

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Sery J.
84' Event
Iglesias Lois B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Karpaty Lviv
30%
Draws
12%
Obolon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karpaty Lviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Karpaty Lviv have won more games recently than Obolon.
  • Karpaty Lviv are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Karpaty Lviv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Karpaty Lviv, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Karpaty Lviv have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 68%
Obolon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karpaty Lviv Obolon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Karpaty Lviv vs Obolon
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs Obolon
4:0
Sep 22, 2025 Premier League
Obolon vs Karpaty Lviv
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Obolon vs Karpaty Lviv
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs Obolon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karpaty Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Sery J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iglesias Lois B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Obolon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karpaty Lviv 95 / 100
Obolon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karpaty Lviv Obolon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karpaty Lviv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karpaty Lviv found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Obolon has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Karpaty Lviv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karpaty Lviv VS Obolon
2.13 Goals Scored 0.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karpaty Lviv

(Home)
03 Oct
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
20 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1
Veres Rivne
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
11 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2
Karpaty Lviv
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

Obolon

(Away)
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
05 Sept
FC Kharkiv
5 : 0
Obolon
28 Aug
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0
Obolon
22 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 0
Obolon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets -
FC Chernihiv -
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
TBD -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -