Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kasetsart vs Nakhon Pathom

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup Insee Chantarasatit Stadium, Bangkok
Kasetsart Logo

Kasetsart

1 - 2
FT
Nakhon Pathom Logo

Nakhon Pathom

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Phadungpattanodom B.
38' Event
Kitajima T.
90' Event
Chuekamut N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kasetsart
15%
Draws
59%
Nakhon Pathom
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nakhon Pathom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nakhon Pathom lately — more wins on the board than Kasetsart.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Nakhon Pathom arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nakhon Pathom, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Kasetsart Clean Sheet 23%
Nakhon Pathom Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasetsart Nakhon Pathom
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.28 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Nakhon Pathom
3:0
Oct 29, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Kasetsart vs Nakhon Pathom
1:2
Feb 26, 2023 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Nakhon Pathom
0:1
Oct 15, 2022 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Kasetsart
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kasetsart Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitajima T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nakhon Pathom Compare

Top Goalscorer Phadungpattanodom B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chuekamut N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasetsart 37 / 100
Nakhon Pathom 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasetsart Nakhon Pathom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nakhon Pathom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kasetsart scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Nakhon Pathom let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Kasetsart has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kasetsart VS Nakhon Pathom
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasetsart

(Home)
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
19 Apr
Khonkaen United
1 : 0
Kasetsart
04 Apr
Kasetsart
4 : 0
Trat FC
25 Mar
Kasetsart
1 : 1
Sisaket United
21 Mar
Pattaya United
3 : 0
Kasetsart
Page 1 of 6

Nakhon Pathom

(Away)
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
19 Apr
Nakhon Pathom
0 : 3
Bangkok FC
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
22 Mar
Nakhon Pathom
3 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
13 Mar
Khonkaen United
1 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Phichit United 1
Udon Thani City 0
Chiangrai Utd 19
Sing Pathumthani 0
Prime Bangkok 1
Khonkaen FC 0
Royal Thai Fleet FC 1
FC ACDC 0
Uthai Thani 3
Kasem Bundit 0
Chiangmai United 2
Prachuap 6
Pathum United 4
Kamphaeng Phet 0
Surin Sugar 2
Ubonkids City 9
Muang Thong Utd 10
Romklao United 0
Surat Thani City 1
Lamphun Warrior 4
Sukhothai 3
Yala 1
Thonburi Forest 0
Nong Bua Pitchaya 7
Burapha United 0
Port MTI FC 4
Bangkok Utd 7
Samut Sakhon City 0
Kanchanaburi 4
Nara United 0
Chonburi 1
Police Tero 2
Customs Utd 3
Nonthaburi United 0
Buriram United F.C. 12
Warin Chamrap 0
See Khwae City 0
Pattani 1
Cha Choeng Sao 0
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1
Samui United 2
Sa-Kaeo Ban Kaeng 0
Nong Khai FC 0
Khonkaen United 5
Bankhai United 5
Nakhon Nayok 0
Kasetsart 1
Nakhon Pathom 2
Ayutthaya United 1
Udon United 0
Roi Et 2018 2
Samut Songkhram City 0
Siwilai 0
Uttaradit FC 2
Pattaya City 1
Chiangmai FC 0
Marines FC 0
Sisaket United 3
Mahasarakham 1
Rayong FC 4
Muangnont 0
Phitsanulok 1
Lopburi City 2
Ratchaburi 3
1/16-finals
Phichit United 2
Chiangrai Utd 3
Prime Bangkok 3
Royal Thai Fleet FC 2
Uthai Thani 0
Prachuap 1
Pathum United 10
Ubonkids City 0
Muang Thong Utd 0
Lamphun Warrior 1
Sukhothai 3
Nong Bua Pitchaya 0
Port MTI FC 0
Bangkok Utd 3
Kanchanaburi 1
Police Tero 0
Customs Utd 1
Buriram United F.C. 5
Pattani 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 0
Samui United 1
Khonkaen United 3
Bankhai United 1
Nakhon Pathom 3
Ayutthaya United 6
Roi Et 2018 0
Uttaradit FC 1
Pattaya City 0
Sisaket United 1
Rayong FC 0
Phitsanulok 1
Ratchaburi 2
1/8-finals
Chiangrai Utd 3
Prime Bangkok 2
Prachuap 1
Pathum United 0
Lamphun Warrior 2
Sukhothai 0
Bangkok Utd 3
Kanchanaburi 1
Buriram United F.C. 4
Pattani 0
Khonkaen United 2
Nakhon Pathom 0
Ayutthaya United 3
Uttaradit FC 0
Sisaket United 1
Ratchaburi 3
Quarter-finals
Chiangrai Utd 0
Prachuap 1
Lamphun Warrior 2
Bangkok Utd 1
Buriram United F.C. 6
Khonkaen United 0
Ayutthaya United 1
Ratchaburi 0
Semi-finals
Prachuap 1
Lamphun Warrior 0
Buriram United F.C. 5
Ayutthaya United 0
Final
Prachuap 0
Buriram United F.C. 1