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Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nakagawa N.
46'
Sub
Koizumi Y. In: Yamauchi H.
Out: Koizumi Y.
46'
Sub
Amagasa T. In: Himeno M.
Out: Amagasa T.

AI Match Summary

Kashiwa Reysol in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kashiwa Reysol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Kashiwa Reysol
15%
Draws
21%
Chiba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kashiwa Reysol lately — more wins on the board than Chiba.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Kashiwa Reysol taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Kashiwa Reysol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 68%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kashiwa Reysol Chiba
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 6
Draws 0 2
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.79 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:1
May 23, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba
4:2
Mar 7, 2026 J1 League
Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakagawa N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kubo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishikawa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashiwa Reysol 95 / 100
Chiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kashiwa Reysol Chiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chiba conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Kashiwa Reysol's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kashiwa Reysol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kashiwa Reysol VS Chiba
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashiwa Reysol

(Home)
03 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 4
Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4
Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
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Chiba

(Away)
07 Oct
Okayama
1 : 0
Chiba
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2
Chiba
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
Chiba
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1
Chiba
09 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2
Chiba
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