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Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nakagawa N.
46'
Sub
Koizumi Y. In: Yamauchi H.
Out: Koizumi Y.
46'
Sub
Amagasa T. In: Himeno M.
Out: Amagasa T.

AI Match Summary

Kashiwa Reysol in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kashiwa Reysol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kashiwa Reysol
6%
Draws
4%
Chiba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kashiwa Reysol lately — more wins on the board than Chiba.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kashiwa Reysol taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 68%
Chiba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kashiwa Reysol Chiba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 0 3
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba
4:2
Mar 7, 2026 J1 League
Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:3
Feb 18, 2024 Club Friendly
Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakagawa N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kubo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishikawa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashiwa Reysol 95 / 100
Chiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kashiwa Reysol Chiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiba has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Kashiwa Reysol's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kashiwa Reysol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kashiwa Reysol VS Chiba
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashiwa Reysol

(Home)
06 Jun
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 1
Kyoto
30 May
Kyoto
2 : 6
Kashiwa Reysol
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2
Chiba
16 May
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
10 May
Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 0
Kawasaki Frontale
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Chiba

(Away)
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
30 May
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 2
Chiba
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2
Chiba
17 May
Chiba
0 : 2
Kashima Antlers
10 May
Chiba
0 : 2
Machida Zelvia
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