Sport Picks

Japan

J1 League 2026 Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium

Kashiwa Reysol

0 - 1

Kashima Antlers

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Mitsumaru H.

45'

Suzuki Y.

Assist: Nono K.

46'

Sub

Mitsumaru H. In: Sugioka D.

Out: Mitsumaru H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Kashiwa Reysol and Kashima Antlers finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kashima Antlers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Kashiwa Reysol

20%

Draws

38%

Kashima Antlers

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Kashima Antlers carry the better recent record into this one.
42% — that's where the model lands on Kashiwa Reysol taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Kashima Antlers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 16%

Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kashiwa Reysol	Kashima Antlers
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	22
Draws	0	4
Losses	14	4
Goals Scored	0.88	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Feb 21, 2026 J1 League

Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Jul 20, 2025 J1 League

Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol

Possession: 60% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

3:2

Mar 8, 2025 J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

1:3

Sep 21, 2024 J1 League

Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Kashima Antlers Compare

Top Goalscorer Suzuki Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashiwa Reysol 41 / 100

Kashima Antlers 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kashiwa Reysol Kashima Antlers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kashiwa Reysol found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kashiwa Reysol remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Kashima Antlers has conceded goals in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kashiwa Reysol VS Kashima Antlers

0.88 Goals Scored 1.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5

38% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	18	15	3	31:11	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	32:18	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	28:22	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	26:28	28
5	Verdy	18	10	8	22:26	28
6	Urawa Reds	18	7	11	25:22	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	28:31	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	22:24	20
9	Mito	18	6	12	23:39	18
10	Chiba	18	3	15	18:34	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	29:25	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	30:21	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	33:31	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	31:23	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	31:25	28
6	Okayama	18	8	10	26:29	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	8	10	23:25	24
8	Kyoto	18	8	10	22:28	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	21:29	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	21:31	21