Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
Kashiwa Reysol Logo

Kashiwa Reysol

1 - 0
FT
Kawasaki Frontale Logo

Kawasaki Frontale

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Osa R. In: Ito T.
Out: Osa R.
55'
Sub
Kakita Y. In: Hosoya M.
Out: Kakita Y.
55'
Sub
Yuruki K. In: Segawa Y.
Out: Yuruki K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Kashiwa Reysol and Kawasaki Frontale finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kashiwa Reysol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kashiwa Reysol
15%
Draws
45%
Kawasaki Frontale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Kashiwa Reysol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 12%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kashiwa Reysol Kawasaki Frontale
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 0 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol
5:3
Oct 12, 2025 J.League Cup
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale
4:1
Oct 8, 2025 J.League Cup
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosoya M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kawasaki Frontale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashiwa Reysol 30 / 100
Kawasaki Frontale 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kashiwa Reysol Kawasaki Frontale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kawasaki Frontale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kashiwa Reysol scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Kashiwa Reysol remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kashiwa Reysol VS Kawasaki Frontale
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashiwa Reysol

(Home)
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4
Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 7

Kawasaki Frontale

(Away)
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3
Kashima Antlers
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
02 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
29 Aug
Kawasaki Frontale
4 : 2
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)