Sport Picks

Japan

J1 League 2026 Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa Reysol

0 - 1

Machida Zelvia

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Sub

Harada W. In: Baba S.

Out: Harada W.

29'

Yengi T.

46'

Sub

Sugioka D. In: Mitsumaru H.

Out: Sugioka D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Machida Zelvia in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Machida Zelvia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Kashiwa Reysol

28%

Draws

22%

Machida Zelvia

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Kashiwa Reysol haven't matched Machida Zelvia's recent run of results.
Kashiwa Reysol are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 68%

Machida Zelvia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kashiwa Reysol	Machida Zelvia
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	16	21
Draws	0	2
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	1.63	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 J1 League

Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol

1:0

Mar 14, 2026 J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia

0:1

Dec 6, 2025 J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia

1:0

May 17, 2025 J1 League

Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol

3:0

Oct 19, 2024 J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Machida Zelvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Yengi T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashiwa Reysol 59 / 100

Machida Zelvia 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kashiwa Reysol Machida Zelvia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kashiwa Reysol scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Machida Zelvia has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Kashiwa Reysol remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kashiwa Reysol VS Machida Zelvia

1.63 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashiwa Reysol

(Home)

06 Jun

Kashiwa Reysol

0 : 1

Kyoto

30 May

Kyoto

2 : 6

Kashiwa Reysol

23 May

Kashiwa Reysol

4 : 2

Chiba

16 May

Yokohama F. Marinos

0 : 1

Kashiwa Reysol

10 May

Kashiwa Reysol

1 : 0

Kawasaki Frontale

Page 1 of 6

Machida Zelvia

(Away)

18 Jul

Machida Zelvia

2 : 1

Fujieda MYFC

06 Jun

Machida Zelvia

2 : 1

Nagoya Grampus

30 May

Nagoya Grampus

2 : 2

Machida Zelvia

22 May

Machida Zelvia

1 : 0

Urawa Reds

17 May

Kawasaki Frontale

2 : 1

Machida Zelvia

Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	18	15	3	31:11	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	32:18	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	28:22	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	26:28	28
5	Verdy	18	10	8	22:26	28
6	Urawa Reds	18	7	11	25:22	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	28:31	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	22:24	20
9	Mito	18	6	12	23:39	18
10	Chiba	18	3	15	18:34	12

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	29:25	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	30:21	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	33:31	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	31:23	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	31:25	28
6	Okayama	18	8	10	26:29	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	8	10	23:25	24
8	Kyoto	18	8	10	22:28	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	21:29	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	21:31	21

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)