Sport Picks
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Reds
Japan
J1 League 2026 Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Yamanouchi Y. In: Mitsumaru H.
Out: Yamanouchi Y.
54'
54'
Sub
Onaiwu A. In: Komori H.
Out: Onaiwu A.
58'
58'
Watanabe R.
Assist: Nakajima S.
AI Match Summary
Urawa Reds in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urawa Reds.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Kashiwa Reysol have won more games recently than Urawa Reds.
- Win probability leans Kashiwa Reysol's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 17%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kashiwa Reysol | Urawa Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Reds
0:1
Mar 18, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Kashiwa Reysol
1:2
Aug 22, 2025 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Reds
4:2
Mar 2, 2025 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:2
Oct 23, 2024 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kashiwa Reysol Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Urawa Reds Compare
Top Goalscorer Watanabe R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kashiwa Reysol 84 / 100
Urawa Reds 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kashiwa Reysol Urawa Reds
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kashiwa Reysol's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Urawa Reds has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Kashiwa Reysol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kashiwa Reysol VS Urawa Reds
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kashiwa Reysol
(Home) 06 Jun
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 1 Kyoto
30 May
Kyoto
2 : 6 Kashiwa Reysol
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Chiba
16 May
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
10 May
Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 0 Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 1 Kyoto
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Chiba
10 May
Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 0 Kawasaki Frontale
06 May
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 1 Urawa Reds
29 Apr
Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 3 FC Tokyo
Page 1 of 4
Urawa Reds
(Away) 21 Jul
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
17 Jul
Ryukyu
5 : 4 Urawa Reds
06 Jun
Urawa Reds
0 : 2 Okayama
31 May
Okayama
1 : 1 Urawa Reds
22 May
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0 Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Ryukyu
5 : 4 Urawa Reds
31 May
Okayama
1 : 1 Urawa Reds
22 May
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0 Urawa Reds
09 May
Mito
1 : 4 Urawa Reds
06 May
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 1 Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
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Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)