Sport Picks

Japan

J1 League 2026 Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa Reysol

1 - 2

Verdy

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Toshima S.

33'

Koizumi Y.

40'

Hirakawa R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Kashiwa Reysol and Verdy finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Verdy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Kashiwa Reysol

Draws

Verdy

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Kashiwa Reysol come out ahead of Verdy on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Kashiwa Reysol taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 38%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 68%

Verdy Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kashiwa Reysol	Verdy
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	12
Draws	0	3
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	0.88	1
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 J1 League

Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol

1:0

Feb 15, 2026 J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol vs Verdy

1:2

Jun 15, 2025 J1 League

Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol

0:3

Jun 8, 2025 J.League Cup

Kashiwa Reysol vs Verdy

2:1

Jun 4, 2025 J.League Cup

Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Top Goalscorer Koizumi Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Verdy Compare

Top Goalscorer Someno I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fukuda Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashiwa Reysol 95 / 100

Verdy 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kashiwa Reysol Verdy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kashiwa Reysol scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Verdy has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Kashiwa Reysol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kashiwa Reysol VS Verdy

0.88 Goals Scored 1

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

38% Over 1.5 38%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashiwa Reysol

(Home)

06 Jun

Kashiwa Reysol

0 : 1

Kyoto

30 May

Kyoto

2 : 6

Kashiwa Reysol

23 May

Kashiwa Reysol

4 : 2

Chiba

16 May

Yokohama F. Marinos

0 : 1

Kashiwa Reysol

10 May

Kashiwa Reysol

1 : 0

Kawasaki Frontale

Page 1 of 6

Verdy

(Away)

06 Jun

Verdy

2 : 4

Gamba Osaka

30 May

Gamba Osaka

1 : 1

Verdy

24 May

Verdy

0 : 6

Yokohama F. Marinos

16 May

Mito

0 : 1

Verdy

13 May

Machida Zelvia

1 : 0

Verdy

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	18	15	3	31:11	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	32:18	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	28:22	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	26:28	28
5	Verdy	18	10	8	22:26	28
6	Urawa Reds	18	7	11	25:22	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	28:31	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	22:24	20
9	Mito	18	6	12	23:39	18
10	Chiba	18	3	15	18:34	12

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	29:25	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	30:21	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	33:31	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	31:23	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	31:25	28
6	Okayama	18	8	10	26:29	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	8	10	23:25	24
8	Kyoto	18	8	10	22:28	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	21:29	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	21:31	21

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)