Sport Picks
Kasimpasa vs Galatasaray
Turkey
Super Lig 2025/2026 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, Istanbul 
Match Events
27'
27'
Benedyczak A.
Assist: Diabate F.
46'
46'
Sub
Guvenc G. In: Sen B.
Out: Guvenc G.
60'
60'
Sub
Nhaga R. In: Kutucu A.
Out: Nhaga R.
AI Match Summary
The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between Kasimpasa and Galatasaray finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kasimpasa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
30%
40%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galatasaray
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Kasimpasa haven't matched Galatasaray's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 17%
Galatasaray Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kasimpasa | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Galatasaray
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa
3:0
Mar 2, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Galatasaray
3:3
Sep 28, 2024 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa
3:3
Mar 17, 2024 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Galatasaray
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kasimpasa Compare
Top Goalscorer Benedyczak A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Galatasaray Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kasimpasa 36 / 100
Galatasaray 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kasimpasa Galatasaray
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Galatasaray Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kasimpasa found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Galatasaray conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Kasimpasa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kasimpasa VS Galatasaray
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Kasimpasa
(Home) 13 Sept
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2 Kasimpasa
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2 Amedspor
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1 Kasimpasa
22 Aug
Corum FK
0 : 1 Kasimpasa
15 Aug
Kasimpasa
1 : 1 Trabzonspor
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2 Amedspor
15 Aug
Kasimpasa
1 : 1 Trabzonspor
08 Aug
Kasimpasa
3 : 0 Samsunspor
01 Aug
Kasimpasa
1 : 1 Hull City
24 Jul
Kasimpasa
3 : 0 Genclerbirligi
Page 1 of 4
Galatasaray
(Away) 13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3 Galatasaray
29 Aug
Galatasaray
3 : 2 Goztepe
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4 Galatasaray
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Galatasaray
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3 Galatasaray
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4 Galatasaray
17 Jul
Umraniyespor
1 : 5 Galatasaray
17 May
Kasimpasa
1 : 0 Galatasaray
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 55 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | 37 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | 35 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | 32 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | 30 |
| 18 | F. Karagumruk | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | 30 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)
