Sport Picks
Kasimpasa vs Kocaelispor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
Super Lig 2025/2026 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, Istanbul 
Match Events
2'
2'
Benedyczak A.
Assist: Ouanes M.
23'
23'
Agyei D.
Assist: Dursun S.
57'
57'
Sub
Nonge J. In: Bingol T.
Out: Nonge J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
30%
40%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kocaelispor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kasimpasa lately — more wins on the board than Kocaelispor.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 27%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kasimpasa | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.03 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Kocaelispor
1:1
Jan 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Kasimpasa vs Kocaelispor
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Kasimpasa
0:0
Dec 28, 2021 Turkish Cup
Kasimpasa vs Kocaelispor
5:3
Nov 1, 2012 Turkish Cup
Kasimpasa vs Kocaelispor
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kasimpasa Compare
Top Goalscorer Benedyczak A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52
Kocaelispor Compare
Top Goalscorer Agyei D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kasimpasa 38 / 100
Kocaelispor 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kasimpasa Kocaelispor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kocaelispor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kasimpasa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Kasimpasa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Kocaelispor has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kasimpasa VS Kocaelispor
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kasimpasa
(Home) 03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1 F. Karagumruk
18 Sept
Kasimpasa
0 : 0 Konyaspor
13 Sept
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2 Kasimpasa
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2 Amedspor
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1 Kasimpasa
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1 F. Karagumruk
18 Sept
Kasimpasa
0 : 0 Konyaspor
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2 Amedspor
15 Aug
Kasimpasa
1 : 1 Trabzonspor
08 Aug
Kasimpasa
3 : 0 Samsunspor
Page 1 of 4
Kocaelispor
(Away) 19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0 Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0 Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2 Kocaelispor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0 Amedspor
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2 Kocaelispor
16 Aug
Basaksehir
2 : 0 Kocaelispor
17 May
Antalyaspor
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
03 May
Kasimpasa
1 : 1 Kocaelispor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 55 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | 37 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | 35 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | 32 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | 30 |
| 18 | F. Karagumruk | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | 30 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)
