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Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, Istanbul
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kasimpasa host Samsunspor in the Super Lig. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kasimpasa have averaged 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Samsunspor's 1.34 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Kasimpasa have won 2 to Samsunspor's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.38 - 0.94) back Kasimpasa to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Kasimpasa
30%
Draws
18%
Samsunspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kasimpasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samsunspor lately — more wins on the board than Kasimpasa.
  • Model gives Kasimpasa a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 20%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasimpasa Samsunspor
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor
3:0
Jan 30, 2026 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor
0:1
Sep 17, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Kasimpasa
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Kasimpasa
0:2
Oct 26, 2024 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasimpasa 85 / 100
Samsunspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasimpasa Samsunspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kasimpasa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kasimpasa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Kasimpasa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Samsunspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kasimpasa VS Samsunspor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasimpasa

(Home)
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1
F. Karagumruk
18 Sept
Kasimpasa
0 : 0
Konyaspor
13 Sept
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Kasimpasa
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2
Amedspor
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1
Kasimpasa
Page 1 of 6

Samsunspor

(Away)
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5
Corum FK
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
22 Aug
Rizespor
0 : 2
Samsunspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amedspor 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Kasimpasa 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
9 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
12 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
13 Genclerbirligi 6 2 1 3 5:13 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)