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Stadium Background

Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, Istanbul
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kasimpasa host Trabzonspor in the Super Lig. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Kasimpasa at 1.25 goals for, 1.13 against; Trabzonspor at 1.25 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Trabzonspor slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.19) back Trabzonspor to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kasimpasa
6%
Draws
4%
Trabzonspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kasimpasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trabzonspor come out ahead of Kasimpasa on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kasimpasa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 20%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasimpasa Trabzonspor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Kasimpasa
2:1
Aug 18, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor
0:1
May 5, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor
1:1
Dec 6, 2024 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Kasimpasa
2:2
Jan 29, 2024 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Kasimpasa
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasimpasa 85 / 100
Trabzonspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasimpasa Trabzonspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trabzonspor has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Kasimpasa scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kasimpasa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kasimpasa VS Trabzonspor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasimpasa

(Home)
24 Jul
Kasimpasa
3 : 0
Genclerbirligi
18 Jul
Kasimpasa
1 : 1
Batman Petrolspor
12 Jul
Kasimpasa
1 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
17 May
Kasimpasa
1 : 0
Galatasaray
09 May
Genclerbirligi
3 : 2
Kasimpasa
Page 1 of 6

Trabzonspor

(Away)
26 Jul
Trabzonspor
0 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
22 May
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Konyaspor
17 May
Trabzonspor
0 : 3
Genclerbirligi
13 May
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Trabzonspor
09 May
Besiktas
1 : 2
Trabzonspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trabzonspor00000:00
2Gaziantep00000:00
3Samsunspor00000:00
4Alanyaspor00000:00
5Amedspor00000:00
6Eyupspor00000:00
7Galatasaray00000:00
8Fenerbahce00000:00
9Besiktas00000:00
10Konyaspor00000:00
11Genclerbirligi00000:00
12Rizespor00000:00
13Kasimpasa00000:00
14Kocaelispor00000:00
15Basaksehir00000:00
16Goztepe00000:00
17Erzurumspor FK00000:00
18Corum FK00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)