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Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Arys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Zhazmagambetov Z.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Zhanbyrbay A.
Assist: Imanali M.
89' Event
Kystaubay A.
Assist: Imanali M.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Kaspij Aktau 2 and Arys finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Kaspij Aktau 2
15%
Draws
68%
Arys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Kaspij Aktau 2's 1.46 goals per match outpaces what Arys have produced (1.28).
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Arys taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Arys Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaspij Aktau 2 Arys
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.46 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Arys
1:2
Jun 18, 2026 First League
Arys vs Kaspij Aktau 2
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaspij Aktau 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Arys Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhanbyrbay A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kystaubay A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 2 23 / 100
Arys 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaspij Aktau 2 Arys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Kaspij Aktau 2 scored in 58% of their last 24 games.

Solid form: Kaspij Aktau 2 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kaspij Aktau 2 VS Arys
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaspij Aktau 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 5

Arys

(Away)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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