Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Yelimay Semey 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Armenov A.
75' Event
Toygozy E.
Own Goal
90' Event
Seylkhanov A.

AI Match Summary

Kaspij Aktau 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaspij Aktau 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kaspij Aktau 2
15%
Draws
0%
Yelimay Semey 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaspij Aktau 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Yelimay Semey 2 haven't matched Kaspij Aktau 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kaspij Aktau 2's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaspij Aktau 2 Yelimay Semey 2
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 7 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.26 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.78 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Yelimay Semey 2
2:1
May 14, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs Kaspij Aktau 2
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaspij Aktau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Armenov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Seylkhanov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 2 75 / 100
Yelimay Semey 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaspij Aktau 2 Yelimay Semey 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaspij Aktau 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yelimay Semey 2 let in goals in 91% of their last 23 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Yelimay Semey 2's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kaspij Aktau 2's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kaspij Aktau 2 VS Yelimay Semey 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaspij Aktau 2

(Home)
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

Yelimay Semey 2

(Away)
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5
Aktobe 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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