Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaspij Aktau vs Zhenis

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Zhestar Stadium, Aktau
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Nabikhanov A.
Assist: Abylaykhan R.
19'
Saulet A.
22' Event
Martins G.
Assist: Filipovic A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kaspij Aktau and Zhenis finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaspij Aktau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kaspij Aktau
15%
Draws
39%
Zhenis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaspij Aktau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Zhenis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kaspij Aktau a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 14%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaspij Aktau Zhenis
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Premier League
Kaspij Aktau vs Zhenis
3:2
May 28, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs Kaspij Aktau
1:0
Aug 9, 2014 First League
Zhenis vs Kaspij Aktau
3:0
Jul 5, 2014 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs Zhenis
2:2
Sep 28, 2013 First League
Zhenis vs Kaspij Aktau
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaspij Aktau Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabikhanov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaral A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zhenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tursynbay S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 41 / 100
Zhenis 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaspij Aktau Zhenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kaspij Aktau scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Zhenis conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Kaspij Aktau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaspij Aktau VS Zhenis
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaspij Aktau

(Home)
18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1
Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2
Aktobe
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3
Kairat Almaty
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0
Tobol
16 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 2
Yelimay Semey
Page 1 of 6

Zhenis

(Away)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)