Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kassel 2 vs Fernwald

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen game between Kassel 2 and Fernwald finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fernwald.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kassel 2
35%
Draws
39%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fernwald

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fernwald come out ahead of Kassel 2 on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fernwald have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kassel 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kassel 2 Fernwald
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Kassel 2 vs Fernwald
1:2
Mar 14, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Kassel 2 vs Fernwald
0:2
Aug 29, 2008 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Kassel 2
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kassel 2 35 / 100
Fernwald 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kassel 2 Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernwald let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Kassel 2 scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Kassel 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kassel 2 VS Fernwald
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kassel 2

(Home)
26 Sept
Hadamar
2 : 0
Kassel 2
20 Sept
Kassel 2
0 : 1
CSC 03 Kassel
13 Sept
RW Walldorf
4 : 3
Kassel 2
09 Sept
Hunfelder
1 : 3
Kassel 2
06 Sept
Kassel 2
0 : 0
Hummetroth
Page 1 of 6

Fernwald

(Away)
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unter-Flockenbach 11 8 1 2 34:20 25
2 Stadtallendorf 11 7 2 2 33:10 23
3 Eddersheim 11 6 4 1 26:18 22
4 Turk Gucu Friedberg 11 6 3 2 24:17 21
5 Hadamar 11 6 2 3 20:18 20
6 Hunfelder 11 6 1 4 21:16 19
7 VfB Marburg 10 5 2 3 15:13 17
8 Pohlheim 11 5 2 4 18:19 17
9 Darmstadt U21 11 4 3 4 24:17 15
10 Fernwald 11 3 6 2 18:16 15
11 CSC 03 Kassel 10 4 1 5 12:21 13
12 Baunatal 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
13 RW Walldorf 10 3 1 6 16:24 10
14 Alzenau 11 2 4 5 11:18 10
15 Hummetroth 11 2 3 6 16:24 9
16 Kassel 2 11 2 2 7 12:18 8
17 Hanauer SC 10 1 3 6 18:29 6
18 Giessen 11 1 3 7 14:29 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)