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Kasserine vs Bouchamma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
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Match Events

33' Event
Mezlini S.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Kasserine and Bouchamma finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bouchamma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kasserine
15%
Draws
45%
Bouchamma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bouchamma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Bouchamma haven't matched Kasserine's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Kasserine Clean Sheet 18%
Bouchamma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasserine Bouchamma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Bouchamma
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Bouchamma vs Kasserine
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kasserine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Bouchamma Compare

Top Goalscorer Mezlini S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasserine 32 / 100
Bouchamma 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasserine Bouchamma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bouchamma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kasserine scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Bouchamma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Kasserine stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kasserine VS Bouchamma
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasserine

(Home)
04 Oct
Kasserine
1 : 0
Olympique Kef
27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2
Kasserine
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0
Kasserine
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0
Ksour Essef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0
Kasserine
Page 1 of 6

Bouchamma

(Away)
04 Oct
Redeyef
3 : 0
Bouchamma
27 Sept
Bouchamma
1 : 0
Korba
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1
Korba
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0
Ariana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)