Sport Picks
Kasserine vs Espoir Rogba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue 2 2024/2025 
Match Events
87'
87'
Ben Salem S.
AI Match Summary
Kasserine in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kasserine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kasserine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Espoir Rogba haven't matched Kasserine's recent run of results.
- Kasserine are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Kasserine Clean Sheet 68%
Espoir Rogba Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kasserine | Espoir Rogba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2025 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs Kasserine
2:7
Dec 29, 2024 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Espoir Rogba
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kasserine Compare
Top Goalscorer Ben Salem S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Espoir Rogba Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kasserine 95 / 100
Espoir Rogba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kasserine Espoir Rogba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kasserine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Espoir Rogba conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Difficult form: Espoir Rogba registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Kasserine scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kasserine VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kasserine
(Home) 04 Oct
Kasserine
1 : 0 Olympique Kef
27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2 Kasserine
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Kasserine
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0 Kasserine
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Kasserine
1 : 0 Olympique Kef
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
11 Apr
Kasserine
2 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
04 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 0 Korba
Page 1 of 3
Espoir Rogba
(Away) 23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3 Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7 Kasserine
10 May
JS Kairouan
3 : 1 Espoir Rogba
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1 Sfax Railways
26 Apr
Redeyef
3 : 0 Espoir Rogba
Page 1 of 6
10 May
JS Kairouan
3 : 1 Espoir Rogba
26 Apr
Redeyef
3 : 0 Espoir Rogba
12 Apr
Kerkennah
2 : 0 Espoir Rogba
08 Mar
Djelma
3 : 0 Espoir Rogba
22 Feb
BS Bouhajla
2 : 0 Espoir Rogba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
