Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Zitouni C.
56'
56'
Zaghdoud W.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Kasserine and Stade Gabesien finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Gabesien
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Stade Gabesien carry the better recent record into this one.
- Kasserine are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kasserine Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kasserine | Stade Gabesien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2026 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Stade Gabesien
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Kasserine
2:0
May 5, 2025 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Kasserine
0:2
Dec 22, 2024 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Stade Gabesien
1:0
Jun 7, 2020 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Stade Gabesien
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kasserine Compare
Top Goalscorer Zitouni C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Stade Gabesien Compare
Top Goalscorer Zaghdoud W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kasserine 42 / 100
Stade Gabesien 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kasserine Stade Gabesien
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kasserine scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Stade Gabesien has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Kasserine has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kasserine VS Stade Gabesien
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kasserine
(Home) 25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Kasserine
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0 Kasserine
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 Kasserine
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
11 Apr
Kasserine
2 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
04 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 0 Korba
27 Feb
Kasserine
1 : 1 Moknine
Page 1 of 3
Stade Gabesien
(Away) 30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
02 May
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
11 Apr
Moknine
0 : 2 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
