Sport Picks
Kastamonuspor vs Erbaaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 
Match Events
20'
20'
Konuksever I.
Assist: Aynaoglu O.
53'
53'
Talay H. I.
Assist: Ayaroglu H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kastamonuspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Kastamonuspor have won more games recently than Erbaaspor.
- Win probability leans Erbaaspor's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kastamonuspor Clean Sheet 10%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kastamonuspor | Erbaaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Kastamonuspor vs Erbaaspor
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Erbaaspor vs Kastamonuspor
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kastamonuspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Talay H. I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Erbaaspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Konuksever I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kastamonuspor 14 / 100
Erbaaspor 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kastamonuspor Erbaaspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Erbaaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erbaaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Kastamonuspor found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Erbaaspor's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Kastamonuspor VS Erbaaspor
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kastamonuspor
(Home) 04 Oct
Kastamonuspor
2 : 1 Arnavutkoy Bl.
26 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
4 : 1 Kastamonuspor
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0 Hatayspor
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0 Kastamonuspor
06 Sept
Kastamonuspor
0 : 5 Corluspor
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Kastamonuspor
2 : 1 Arnavutkoy Bl.
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0 Hatayspor
06 Sept
Kastamonuspor
0 : 5 Corluspor
25 Apr
Kastamonuspor
0 : 3 Muglaspor
08 Apr
Kastamonuspor
2 : 2 Karaman FK
Page 1 of 3
Erbaaspor
(Away) 07 Oct
Pazarspor
3 : 1 Erbaaspor
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4 Aliaga
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3 Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2 Sebat Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1 Erbaaspor
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Pazarspor
3 : 1 Erbaaspor
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3 Erbaaspor
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1 Erbaaspor
25 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
3 : 1 Erbaaspor
12 Apr
Elazigspor
3 : 0 Erbaaspor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Batman Petrolspor | 36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 86:33 | 83 |
| 2 | Muglaspor | 36 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 51:19 | 72 |
| 3 | Elazigspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82:37 | 69 |
| 4 | Adana 01 | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 55:35 | 67 |
| 5 | Sanliurfaspor | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Ankaragucu | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Inegolspor | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 67:44 | 60 |
| 8 | Iskenderunspor | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 50:44 | 56 |
| 9 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 45:35 | 54 |
| 10 | Ankaraspor | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 64:54 | 52 |
| 11 | 24Erzincanspor | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 55:49 | 51 |
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44:56 | 42 |
| 13 | Karacabey Bld. | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46:55 | 41 |
| 14 | Altinordu | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 33:59 | 35 |
| 15 | Erbaaspor | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 40:61 | 34 |
| 16 | Beykoz Anadolu | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 37:66 | 30 |
| 17 | Kepez Bld. | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 33:78 | 23 |
| 18 | Karaman FK | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 30:86 | 21 |
| 19 | Bucaspor 1928 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 38:76 | 17 |
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