Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kastamonuspor vs Kepez Bld.

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Tandogan G.
89' Event
Findikli V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. Lig White Group 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Kastamonuspor
15%
Draws
64%
Kepez Bld.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kepez Bld.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kastamonuspor lately — more wins on the board than Kepez Bld..
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kastamonuspor Clean Sheet 10%
Kepez Bld. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastamonuspor Kepez Bld.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.11 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Kastamonuspor vs Kepez Bld.
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Kepez Bld. vs Kastamonuspor
1:4
Mar 22, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Kastamonuspor vs Kepez Bld.
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 2. Lig White Group
Kepez Bld. vs Kastamonuspor
1:3
Feb 10, 2011 3. Lig Group 3
Kastamonuspor vs Kepez Bld.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kastamonuspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tandogan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Kepez Bld. Compare

Top Goalscorer Findikli V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastamonuspor 30 / 100
Kepez Bld. 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastamonuspor Kepez Bld.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kepez Bld. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kepez Bld. has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Kastamonuspor found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Kepez Bld. has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kastamonuspor VS Kepez Bld.
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastamonuspor

(Home)
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0
Kastamonuspor
06 Sept
Kastamonuspor
0 : 5
Corluspor
25 Apr
Kastamonuspor
0 : 3
Muglaspor
12 Apr
Sanliurfaspor
5 : 2
Kastamonuspor
08 Apr
Kastamonuspor
2 : 2
Karaman FK
Page 1 of 6

Kepez Bld.

(Away)
16 Sept
Karaman FK
2 : 3
Kepez Bld.
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1
Kepez Bld.
06 Sept
Kepez Bld.
0 : 2
Eskisehir Anadolu
25 Apr
Batman Petrolspor
6 : 0
Kepez Bld.
19 Apr
Kepez Bld.
2 : 4
Altinordu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batman Petrolspor 36 25 8 3 86:33 83
2 Muglaspor 36 21 9 6 51:19 72
3 Elazigspor 36 21 6 9 82:37 69
4 Adana 01 36 19 10 7 55:35 67
5 Sanliurfaspor 36 19 8 9 63:43 65
6 Ankaragucu 36 18 9 9 52:41 63
7 Inegolspor 36 16 12 8 67:44 60
8 Iskenderunspor 36 16 8 12 50:44 56
9 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 36 13 15 8 45:35 54
10 Ankaraspor 36 13 13 10 64:54 52
11 24Erzincanspor 36 15 6 15 55:49 51
12 Kastamonuspor 36 11 9 16 44:56 42
13 Karacabey Bld. 36 11 8 17 46:55 41
14 Altinordu 36 8 11 17 33:59 35
15 Erbaaspor 36 10 7 19 40:61 34
16 Beykoz Anadolu 36 8 6 22 37:66 30
17 Kepez Bld. 36 5 8 23 33:78 23
18 Karaman FK 36 4 9 23 30:86 21
19 Bucaspor 1928 36 4 8 24 38:76 17
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)