Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kastoria vs Thesprotos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thesprotos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thesprotos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kastoria
15%
Draws
0%
Thesprotos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kastoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kastoria lately — more wins on the board than Thesprotos.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Kastoria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Kastoria Clean Sheet 20%
Thesprotos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastoria Thesprotos
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1 0.56
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kastoria vs Thesprotos
0:1
Oct 29, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Thesprotos vs Kastoria
0:1
Sep 21, 2022 Club Friendly
Kastoria vs Thesprotos
0:0
Feb 11, 2018 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Thesprotos vs Kastoria
3:0
Oct 29, 2017 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Kastoria vs Thesprotos
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastoria 85 / 100
Thesprotos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastoria Thesprotos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kastoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thesprotos has conceded goals in 81% of their last 36 outings.

Thesprotos's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kastoria scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kastoria VS Thesprotos
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastoria

(Home)
27 Sept
Vatolakkos
0 : 1
Kastoria
28 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 4
Svoronos FC
24 Apr
Eordaikos
2 : 1
Kastoria
20 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 2
Asteras Petriti
14 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 2
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 6

Thesprotos

(Away)
01 Mar
Lamia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
21 Feb
Thesprotos
0 : 3
Lefkimmi
15 Feb
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Thesprotos
11 Feb
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Thesprotos
01 Feb
Nea Selefkia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethnikos Neou 34 24 6 4 57:18 78
2 Nea Artaki 34 23 7 4 62:19 76
3 Svoronos FC 34 21 9 4 63:23 72
4 Zakynthos 34 16 10 8 50:30 58
5 Pierikos 34 16 7 11 49:27 55
6 Anagennisi Arta 34 16 6 12 35:33 54
7 Kileler 34 15 8 11 36:22 53
8 Asteras Stavrou 34 15 7 12 38:35 52
9 Thesprotos 34 16 4 14 54:45 52
10 AO Trikala 34 14 10 10 49:37 52
11 Asteras Petriti 34 15 5 14 36:38 50
12 Eordaikos 34 13 11 10 39:30 50
13 Thyella Katsikas 34 13 9 12 49:32 48
14 Lefkimmi 34 9 6 19 37:51 33
15 Kastoria 34 9 6 19 35:52 33
16 Vataniakos 34 8 7 19 36:67 31
17 Fikis 33 2 1 30 12:90 -8
18 Magnisiakos 33 0 1 32 1:89 -14
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)