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Kastoria vs Vataniakos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kastoria
15%
Draws
42%
Vataniakos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kastoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kastoria lately — more wins on the board than Vataniakos.
  • Model gives Kastoria a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Kastoria Clean Sheet 19%
Vataniakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastoria Vataniakos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kastoria vs Vataniakos
3:3
Oct 4, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Vataniakos vs Kastoria
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastoria 76 / 100
Vataniakos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastoria Vataniakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kastoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vataniakos has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Vataniakos lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Kastoria found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Kastoria VS Vataniakos
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastoria

(Home)
04 Oct
Kastoria
0 : 1
Makedonikos Siatista
27 Sept
Vatolakkos
0 : 1
Kastoria
28 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 4
Svoronos FC
24 Apr
Eordaikos
2 : 1
Kastoria
20 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 2
Asteras Petriti
Page 1 of 6

Vataniakos

(Away)
28 Apr
Zakynthos
6 : 0
Vataniakos
24 Apr
Vataniakos
3 : 0
Magnisiakos
20 Apr
Thyella Katsikas
4 : 0
Vataniakos
14 Apr
Vataniakos
1 : 3
Anagennisi Arta
07 Apr
Kileler
2 : 1
Vataniakos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethnikos Neou 34 24 6 4 57:18 78
2 Nea Artaki 34 23 7 4 62:19 76
3 Svoronos FC 34 21 9 4 63:23 72
4 Zakynthos 34 16 10 8 50:30 58
5 Pierikos 34 16 7 11 49:27 55
6 Anagennisi Arta 34 16 6 12 35:33 54
7 Kileler 34 15 8 11 36:22 53
8 Asteras Stavrou 34 15 7 12 38:35 52
9 Thesprotos 34 16 4 14 54:45 52
10 AO Trikala 34 14 10 10 49:37 52
11 Asteras Petriti 34 15 5 14 36:38 50
12 Eordaikos 34 13 11 10 39:30 50
13 Thyella Katsikas 34 13 9 12 49:32 48
14 Lefkimmi 34 9 6 19 37:51 33
15 Kastoria 34 9 6 19 35:52 33
16 Vataniakos 34 8 7 19 36:67 31
17 Fikis 33 2 1 30 12:90 -8
18 Magnisiakos 33 0 1 32 1:89 -14
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)