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Kastrioti vs AF Luftetari

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ajine S.
87' Event
Nyanguila K.
89' Event
Beji A.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Kastrioti and AF Luftetari finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AF Luftetari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Kastrioti
15%
Draws
64%
AF Luftetari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AF Luftetari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kastrioti come out ahead of AF Luftetari on wins alone.
  • Model gives AF Luftetari a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 10%
AF Luftetari Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastrioti AF Luftetari
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs AF Luftetari
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Kastrioti
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs AF Luftetari
3:1
Apr 10, 2019 Abissnet Superiore
Kastrioti vs AF Luftetari
1:0
Jan 27, 2019 Abissnet Superiore
AF Luftetari vs Kastrioti
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kastrioti Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajine S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AF Luftetari Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyanguila K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beji A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastrioti 22 / 100
AF Luftetari 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastrioti AF Luftetari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Luftetari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AF Luftetari conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Kastrioti scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Kastrioti stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kastrioti VS AF Luftetari
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastrioti

(Home)
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
07 May
Pogradeci
3 : 0
Kastrioti
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
Page 1 of 6

AF Luftetari

(Away)
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
03 May
AF Luftetari
3 : 0
Pogradeci
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Iliria Kruja
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)