Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Kastrioti and Burreli finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kastrioti.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kastrioti carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kastrioti | Burreli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kastrioti Compare
Burreli Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Kastrioti found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Burreli let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Burreli's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kastrioti
(Home)Burreli
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laci | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 60:23 | 79 |
| 2 | Skenderbeu Korca | 33 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 57:25 | 77 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 68 |
| 4 | Iliria Kruja | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32:33 | 45 |
| 5 | Besa Kavaje | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:43 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44:57 | 39 |
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 31:39 | 36 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:50 | 31 |
| 11 | Apolonia Fier | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31:44 | 28 |
| 12 | Lushnja | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26:47 | 26 |
