Sport Picks
Kastrioti vs KF Elbasani
Albania
Albanian Cup 2021/2022 Kamza Stadium, Tirana 
Match Events
72'
72'
Ajazi S.
90'
90'
Neziri S.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Kastrioti in this Albanian Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KF Elbasani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kastrioti have won more games recently than KF Elbasani.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on KF Elbasani taking it.
- Kastrioti have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kastrioti, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Kastrioti have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 20%
KF Elbasani Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kastrioti | KF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 13, 2021 Albanian Cup
Kastrioti vs KF Elbasani
2:0
Sep 22, 2021 Albanian Cup
KF Elbasani vs Kastrioti
0:2
Apr 29, 2011 Abissnet Superiore
KF Elbasani vs Kastrioti
1:2
Dec 11, 2010 Abissnet Superiore
Kastrioti vs KF Elbasani
3:1
Sep 11, 2010 Abissnet Superiore
KF Elbasani vs Kastrioti
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kastrioti Compare
Top Goalscorer Ajazi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
KF Elbasani Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kastrioti 20 / 100
KF Elbasani 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kastrioti KF Elbasani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KF Elbasani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
KF Elbasani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Kastrioti found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Kastrioti remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kastrioti VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kastrioti
(Home) 07 May
Pogradeci
3 : 0 Kastrioti
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4 Kastrioti
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2 AF Luftetari
19 Apr
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 0 Kastrioti
11 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2 Laci
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25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2 AF Luftetari
11 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2 Laci
22 Mar
Kastrioti
0 : 2 Kukesi
18 Mar
Kastrioti
5 : 2 Burreli
07 Mar
Kastrioti
2 : 3 Besa Kavaje
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KF Elbasani
(Away) 12 Aug
KF Elbasani
4 : 1 Luzi
02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2 KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2 KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1 KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0 KF Elbasani
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02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2 KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2 KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1 KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0 KF Elbasani
15 May
Lushnja
1 : 1 KF Elbasani
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Erzeni Shijak -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo City -
Shkumbini Peqin -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Tirana -
Beselidhja Lezha -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli -
Terbuni Puka -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizani -
Flamurtari -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier -
KF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrioti -
Besa Kavaje -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci -
Laberia FC 3
KS Devolli 0
TBD -
Vllaznia -
KF Oriku -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis -
Koplik -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca -
Vora -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi -
Librazhd 1
Luzi 2
TBD -
Teuta -
Turbina Cerrik -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
Maliqi -
TBD -
TBD -
Kukesi -
Butrinti Sarande -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci -
Lushnja -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomori Berat -
1/16-finals
Erzeni Shijak 1
Dinamo City 2
Shkumbini Peqin 0
KF Tirana 9
Beselidhja Lezha 4
Burreli 2
Terbuni Puka 0
Partizani 6
Flamurtari 3
Apolonia Fier 2
KF Elbasani 0
Kastrioti 4
Besa Kavaje 1
Pogradeci 2
Laberia FC 2
Vllaznia 5
KF Oriku 1
Bylis 7
Koplik 0
Skenderbeu Korca 7
Vora 3
Korabi Peshkopi 5
Luzi 3
Teuta 6
Turbina Cerrik 1
KF Egnatia 2
Maliqi 0
Kukesi 4
Butrinti Sarande 1
Laci 5
Lushnja 0
Tomori Berat 3
1/8-finals
Dinamo City 3
KF Tirana 2
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Partizani 3
Flamurtari 4
Kastrioti 2
Pogradeci 1
Vllaznia 8
Bylis 3
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Korabi Peshkopi 0
Teuta 3
KF Egnatia 3
Kukesi 2
Laci 2
Tomori Berat 1
Quarter-finals
Dinamo City 1
Partizani 2
Flamurtari 1
Vllaznia 3
Skenderbeu Korca 0
Teuta 2
KF Egnatia 1
Laci 2
Semi-finals
Partizani 1
Vllaznia 2
Teuta 2
Laci 3
Final
Vllaznia 2
Laci 1
