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Kastrioti vs KS Devolli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Anderson J.
72' Event
Hoxha E.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Ivani X.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Kastrioti advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Kastrioti
20%
Draws
0%
KS Devolli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kastrioti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kastrioti come out ahead of KS Devolli on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Kastrioti taking it.
  • Kastrioti have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kastrioti, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 68%
KS Devolli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastrioti KS Devolli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.47 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Albanian Cup
Kastrioti vs KS Devolli
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kastrioti Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasmollari O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

KS Devolli Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ivani X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastrioti 95 / 100
KS Devolli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastrioti KS Devolli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kastrioti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kastrioti scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

KS Devolli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: KS Devolli has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kastrioti VS KS Devolli
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastrioti

(Home)
07 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Luzi
20 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
1 : 1
Kastrioti
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
Page 1 of 6

KS Devolli

(Away)
07 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 1
KS Devolli
15 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 2
KS Devolli
16 Oct
Flamurtari
15 : 1
KS Devolli
18 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
4 : 0
KS Devolli
11 Oct
Laci
5 : 0
KS Devolli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 5
Basania FC 2
Iliria Kruja 5
Luzi 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
Kukesi 3
Terbuni Puka 1
Bylis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci 3
Kelcyra 0
AF Luftetari 2
KF Oriku 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Delvina 0
Korabi Peshkopi 4
Koplik 1
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Maliqi 2
Erzeni Shijak 0
Sopoti Librazhd 2
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Lushnja 2
Butrinti Sarande 1
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 5
Kucove 0
KF Valbona -
Tomori Berat -
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli 3
Albanet 1
Kastrioti 3
KS Devolli 2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Iliria Kruja 2
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 3
Kukesi 1
Bylis -
TBD -
Laci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Teuta -
TBD -
Vora 2
Sopoti Librazhd 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Lushnja 2
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
Flamurtari 9
Tomori Berat 0
Partizani -
TBD -
Burreli 5
Kastrioti 2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana 2
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Dinamo City 3
Besa Kavaje 0
Bylis 3
Laci 2
Vllaznia 1
Pogradeci 0
Teuta 2
Vora 0
KF Egnatia 1
Apolonia Fier 0
AF Elbasani 2
Flamurtari 1
Partizani 3
Burreli 0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana 0
Dinamo City 4
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Teuta 1
KF Egnatia 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Dinamo City 2
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 3
AF Elbasani 2
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2