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Kastrioti vs Luzi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup
Kastrioti Logo

Kastrioti

3 - 1
FT
Luzi Logo

Luzi

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
22' Event
Tepshi R.
58' Event
Hoxha E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Kastrioti
20%
Draws
22%
Luzi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kastrioti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Kastrioti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kastrioti a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Kastrioti have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kastrioti, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kastrioti have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 19%
Luzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastrioti Luzi
Matches Played 39 37
Wins 19 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.64 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Albanian Cup
Kastrioti vs Luzi
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Luzi
1:0
Apr 6, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Luzi
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs Kastrioti
3:1
Sep 27, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Luzi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kastrioti Compare

Top Goalscorer Tepshi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoxha E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Luzi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastrioti 76 / 100
Luzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastrioti Luzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kastrioti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastrioti's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Luzi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Kastrioti went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kastrioti VS Luzi
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastrioti

(Home)
07 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Luzi
20 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
1 : 1
Kastrioti
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
Page 1 of 8

Luzi

(Away)
07 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Luzi
15 Oct
Iliria Kruja
5 : 1
Luzi
27 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Luzi
20 Nov
Bylis
3 : 1
Luzi
16 Oct
Luzi
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kastrioti 3
Luzi 1
Burreli 2
Eagle FA 3
Besa Kavaje 4
KS Devolli 1
Korabi Peshkopi 2
Terbuni Puka 1
Iliria Kruja 4
Koplik 3
AF Luftetari 5
Tomori Berat 0
Pogradeci 7
Delvina 0
Kukesi 3
Erzeni Shijak 2
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Kucove 1
Apolonia Fier 3
Maliqi 1
Laci 8
Kelcyra 2
Lushnja 0
Shiroka 4
Flamurtari 4
Gramshi 1
KF Oriku 1
Butrinti Sarande 2
Bylis 4
Albpetrol 1
Beselidhja Lezha 2
Sopoti Librazhd 1
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