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Kataka vs BUL

Uganda Uganda

Premier League BCS Sports complex Bukedea, Bukedea
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Byabacwezi D.
20' Event
Byabacwezi D.
45' Event
Sentamu A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kataka and BUL finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BUL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kataka
30%
Draws
39%
BUL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BUL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kataka come out ahead of BUL on wins alone.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Kataka Clean Sheet 68%
BUL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kataka BUL
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Premier League
Kataka vs BUL
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kataka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

BUL Compare

Top Goalscorer Byabacwezi D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Achidi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kataka 41 / 100
BUL 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kataka BUL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kataka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Kataka scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

BUL has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Kataka remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kataka VS BUL
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kataka

(Home)
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
Page 1 of 6

BUL

(Away)
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
30 Aug
BUL
1 : 0
Express FC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
19 May
BUL
1 : 1
Kitara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Blacks Power 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
3 NEC FC 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
4 Villa 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
5 Lugazi 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
6 Entebbe UPPC 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
7 Police 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
8 Uganda Revenue 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Express FC 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
10 Maroons 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
11 UPDF FC 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
12 Kitara 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Kigezi HomeBoyz 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Mbarara City 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
15 Kataka 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
16 Kampala City 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
17 Vipers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Ntugasaze 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)