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Kataka vs Bunyaruguru

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Kataka Logo

Kataka

2 - 0
FT
Bunyaruguru Logo

Bunyaruguru

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kataka in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kataka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kataka
20%
Draws
34%
Bunyaruguru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kataka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kataka have won more games recently than Bunyaruguru.
  • Model gives Kataka a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Kataka Clean Sheet 20%
Bunyaruguru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kataka Bunyaruguru
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1
Goals Conceded 0.94 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Big League
Kataka vs Bunyaruguru
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Big League
Bunyaruguru vs Kataka
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kataka 58 / 100
Bunyaruguru 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kataka Bunyaruguru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kataka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kataka found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Kataka remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Bunyaruguru has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kataka VS Bunyaruguru
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kataka

(Home)
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
Page 1 of 7

Bunyaruguru

(Away)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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