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Kataka vs Iganga United

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kataka in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kataka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kataka
30%
Draws
33%
Iganga United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kataka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Iganga United haven't matched Kataka's recent run of results.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Iganga United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Kataka Clean Sheet 18%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kataka Iganga United
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.28 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Big League
Kataka vs Iganga United
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Big League
Iganga United vs Kataka
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kataka 28 / 100
Iganga United 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kataka Iganga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iganga United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kataka scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Iganga United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Kataka has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kataka VS Iganga United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kataka

(Home)
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
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Iganga United

(Away)
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Iganga United
1 : 1
Bright Stars
03 May
Kigezi HomeBoyz
1 : 0
Iganga United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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