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Kataka vs Kiyinda Boys

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kataka in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kataka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kataka
6%
Draws
4%
Kiyinda Boys
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kataka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kataka have won more games recently than Kiyinda Boys.
  • Model gives Kataka a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kataka Clean Sheet 18%
Kiyinda Boys Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kataka Kiyinda Boys
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Kataka
1:1
Dec 31, 2025 Big League
Kataka vs Kiyinda Boys
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Kataka
4:2
Nov 24, 2024 Big League
Kataka vs Kiyinda Boys
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Kataka
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kataka 85 / 100
Kiyinda Boys 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kataka Kiyinda Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kataka scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Kiyinda Boys let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Kataka remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kataka VS Kiyinda Boys
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717