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Kataka vs Onduparaka

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Kataka Logo

Kataka

1 - 0
FT
Onduparaka Logo

Onduparaka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Kataka and Onduparaka finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kataka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kataka
35%
Draws
28%
Onduparaka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kataka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Onduparaka haven't matched Kataka's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kataka taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Kataka Clean Sheet 20%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kataka Onduparaka
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.28 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Big League
Kataka vs Onduparaka
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Big League
Onduparaka vs Kataka
1:0
May 29, 2025 Big League
Onduparaka vs Kataka
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Big League
Kataka vs Onduparaka
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Big League
Kataka vs Onduparaka
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kataka 36 / 100
Onduparaka 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kataka Onduparaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kataka's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Onduparaka let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Kataka stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kataka VS Onduparaka
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kataka

(Home)
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
Page 1 of 7

Onduparaka

(Away)
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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