Sport Picks

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Kataka vs Villa

Uganda Uganda

Premier League
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kataka host Villa in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Villa have shipped 0.44 goals a game lately, while Kataka have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.24. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.38, favoring Villa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kataka
20%
Draws
47%
Villa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villa come out ahead of Kataka on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Villa's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Kataka Clean Sheet 17%
Villa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kataka Villa
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 21
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.24 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kataka 23 / 100
Villa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kataka Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kataka scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Kataka remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 34% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Villa registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kataka VS Villa
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kataka

(Home)
16 Sept
Kampala City
1 : 0
Kataka
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
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Villa

(Away)
15 Sept
Villa
3 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
09 Sept
Villa
2 : 0
Express FC
04 Sept
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Villa
29 Aug
Villa
1 : 1
Kitara
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)