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Kataka vs Vipers

Uganda Uganda

Premier League
Thu, Sep 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kataka host Vipers in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Kataka at 1.24 goals for, 0.93 against; Vipers at 1.8 for, 0.5 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.04, favoring Vipers. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kataka
30%
Draws
33%
Vipers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kataka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Kataka haven't matched Vipers's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Kataka taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kataka Clean Sheet 20%
Vipers Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kataka Vipers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1.24 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kataka 49 / 100
Vipers 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kataka Vipers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kataka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kataka scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Kataka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vipers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Vipers lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kataka VS Vipers
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.25
71% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kataka

(Home)
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
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Vipers

(Away)
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Mahia
0 : 1
Vipers
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Garde Republicaine
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 NEC FC 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Entebbe UPPC 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
4 Blacks Power 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
5 Villa 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Uganda Revenue 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Express FC 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
8 Police 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Lugazi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
10 Maroons 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
11 Kitara 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 UPDF FC 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Kataka 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
14 Kigezi HomeBoyz 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 Vipers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Mbarara City 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 Ntugasaze 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
18 Kampala City 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)