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Kator vs Madani

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Kator
35%
Draws
52%
Madani
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Madani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Madani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Madani a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Madani arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Kator Clean Sheet 19%
Madani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kator Madani
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 0 18
Draws 2 6
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 0.33 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Kator vs Madani
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kator 10 / 100
Madani 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kator Madani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kator found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (6 games).

Madani let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Solid form: Kator remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Madani
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kator

(Home)
10 Sept
Al-Hilal Omdurman
3 : 1
Kator
07 Sept
Mogadishu City
0 : 0
Kator
04 Sept
Kator
0 : 0
Madani
04 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Kator
01 Jul
JKU
2 : 0
Kator
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Madani

(Away)
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2
Madani
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1
Umm Mughad
02 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
2 : 0
Madani
29 May
Madani
3 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
24 May
Madani
2 : 0
Alfalah Atbra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singida Black Stars 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Police FC 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 3 1 1 1 6:2 4
4 Garde-Cotes 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Kinondoni MC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Mlandege 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Bumamuru 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
2 Mogadishu City 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Madani 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Kator 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)