Sport Picks
Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC
Netherlands
Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Krom, Katwijk 
Match Events
30'
30'
Sub
Lathouwers R. In: de Boer T.
Out: Lathouwers R.
45'
45'
Donker N.
46'
46'
Sub
Michaelis M. In: van der Sar J.
Out: Michaelis M.
AI Match Summary
The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between Katwijk and Koninklijke HFC finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Katwijk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Katwijk come out ahead of Koninklijke HFC on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 16%
Koninklijke HFC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Katwijk | Koninklijke HFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Koninklijke HFC vs Katwijk
0:2
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Koninklijke HFC vs Katwijk
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Katwijk Compare
Top Goalscorer Ravensbergen J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Suleiman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Koninklijke HFC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Katwijk 31 / 100
Koninklijke HFC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Katwijk Koninklijke HFC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Katwijk scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Koninklijke HFC let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Katwijk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Katwijk VS Koninklijke HFC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Katwijk
(Home) 12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Katwijk
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Almere City
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2 Katwijk
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2 Katwijk
22 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
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05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2 Jong Almere City
22 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
11 Jul
Katwijk
1 : 1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
23 May
Katwijk
4 : 1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
09 May
Katwijk
4 : 0 Koninklijke HFC
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Koninklijke HFC
(Away) 12 Sept
De Treffers
1 : 1 Koninklijke HFC
05 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
2 : 2 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
01 Sept
Longa '30
0 : 4 Koninklijke HFC
29 Aug
Jong Almere City
1 : 2 Koninklijke HFC
22 Aug
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 2 Barendrecht
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12 Sept
De Treffers
1 : 1 Koninklijke HFC
01 Sept
Longa '30
0 : 4 Koninklijke HFC
29 Aug
Jong Almere City
1 : 2 Koninklijke HFC
15 Aug
HSV Hoek
3 : 1 Koninklijke HFC
08 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 0 Koninklijke HFC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 69:35 | 66 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:37 | 63 |
| 3 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 60:37 | 63 |
| 4 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 76:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Hardenberg | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 58:44 | 56 |
| 6 | Spakenburg | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 72:60 | 56 |
| 7 | Katwijk | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 60:55 | 52 |
| 8 | Jong Almere City | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 70:62 | 50 |
| 9 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 71:73 | 45 |
| 11 | AFC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 46:54 | 45 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 62:84 | 43 |
| 13 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 50:62 | 42 |
| 14 | GVVV | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:67 | 42 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 33:49 | 39 |
| 16 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | Excelsior Maassluis | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 39:58 | 31 |
| 18 | ACV Assen | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 48:71 | 30 |
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
