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Kauguri-PBLC vs Aliance

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Latvian Cup 2020
Kauguri-PBLC Logo

Kauguri-PBLC

6 - 1
FT
Aliance Logo

Aliance

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kolomicevs S.
18' Event
Ikstens O.
35' Event
Ikstens O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-1, with Kauguri-PBLC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kauguri-PBLC
15%
Draws
42%
Aliance
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kauguri-PBLC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Aliance haven't matched Kauguri-PBLC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Kauguri-PBLC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kauguri-PBLC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kauguri-PBLC Clean Sheet 20%
Aliance Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kauguri-PBLC Aliance
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 0
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.93 3.06
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2020 Latvian Cup
Kauguri-PBLC vs Aliance
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kauguri-PBLC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikstens O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kolomicevs S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Aliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Edolfs A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kauguri-PBLC 31 / 100
Aliance 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kauguri-PBLC Aliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kauguri-PBLC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliance has conceded goals in 83% of their last 18 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Kauguri-PBLC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Kauguri-PBLC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kauguri-PBLC VS Aliance
3.4 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
80% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kauguri-PBLC

(Home)
24 Sept
Kauguri-PBLC
0 : 9
Jelgava
09 Sept
Priekuli
1 : 2
Kauguri-PBLC
21 Aug
Plavinas
0 : 6
Kauguri-PBLC
09 Aug
Kauguri-PBLC
6 : 1
Aliance
17 Jun
Kauguri-PBLC
3 : 4
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6

Aliance

(Away)
19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2
Aliance
30 May
Valka
1 : 5
Aliance
31 May
Aliance
0 : 6
JFK Ventspils
17 May
Valka
1 : 9
Aliance
05 May
Talsi
1 : 5
Aliance
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 2
DSVK Traktors 1
TBD -
Grobina -
Valka -
TBD -
FK Karosta 4
Jurmalas 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
Dinamo Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
Liepajas FS 1
Jekabpils SC 4
TBD -
Rezekne -
Upesciems 1
FK Limbazi 3
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Gauja 2
Bebri 3
Lielupe 1
Priekuli 2
Plavinas 4
Sports United/Cesis 2
Kauguri-PBLC 6
Aliance 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Lokomotiv Daugavpils -
TBD -
Dobele Allegro 3
RTU 2
Marupe 0
Albatroz 1
Lubana 1
Kalupe 13
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Tente 4
Krimulda 1
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Super Nova -
TBD -
Salaspils FK 4
Fk Jurnieks Riga 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
1/32-finals
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 1
Grobina 7
Valka 2
FK Karosta 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 2
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
Dinamo Riga 7
FK Alberts 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
Jekabpils SC 0
Rezekne 3
FK Limbazi 0
Alberts JDFS 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Bebri 1
Priekuli 2
Plavinas 0
Kauguri-PBLC 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Lokomotiv Daugavpils 7
Dobele Allegro 0
Albatroz 5
Kalupe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Tente 0
FK Auda Riga 2
Super Nova 3
Salaspils FK 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
1/16-finals
Grobina 3
FK Karosta 0
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 3
Dinamo Riga 4
TBD -
Valmiera -
Rezekne 2
Alberts JDFS 1
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Priekuli 1
Kauguri-PBLC 2
TBD -
Jelgava -
Lokomotiv Daugavpils 3
Albatroz 2
TBD -
Ventspils -
FK Auda Riga 5
Super Nova 1
TBD -
RFS -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
1/8-finals
Grobina 2
Spartaks Jurmala 5
FK Liepaja 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Valmiera 5
Rezekne 1
Tukums 2000 3
Kauguri-PBLC 0
Jelgava 9
Lokomotiv Daugavpils 0
Ventspils 4
FK Auda Riga 0
RFS 8
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 0
Quarter-finals
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 3
Valmiera 1
Tukums 2000 0
Jelgava 0
Ventspils 1
RFS 3
Riga FC 2
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja 2
Valmiera 0
Ventspils 1
RFS 0
Final
FK Liepaja 1
Ventspils 0