Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kavala vs Karditsa

Greece Greece

Super League 2 Dimotiko Stadio Anthi Karagianni, Kavala
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lucas Poletto
49' Event
Lucas Poletto
59' Event
Ben-Kmayal K.

AI Match Summary

Karditsa in this Super League 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karditsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Kavala
20%
Draws
10%
Karditsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kavala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Karditsa have won more games recently than Kavala.
  • Kavala are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Karditsa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Kavala Clean Sheet 68%
Karditsa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kavala Karditsa
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Super League 2
Karditsa vs Kavala
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Super League 2
Kavala vs Karditsa
2:3
Apr 20, 2022 Super League 2
Kavala vs Karditsa
3:1
Feb 16, 2022 Super League 2
Karditsa vs Kavala
1:0
Jan 19, 2014 Football League - Group 2
Kavala vs Karditsa
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kavala Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Papadopoulos V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Karditsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Poletto
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ben-Kmayal K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kavala 77 / 100
Karditsa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kavala Karditsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kavala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Kavala scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Kavala has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Karditsa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kavala VS Karditsa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kavala

(Home)
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2
Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1
Kavala
08 Apr
Kampaniakos
2 : 0
Kavala
05 Apr
Kavala
2 : 1
PAOK B
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Karditsa

(Away)
22 Mar
Iraklis FC
3 : 1
Karditsa
14 Mar
Karditsa
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis B
08 Mar
Niki Volos
1 : 0
Karditsa
28 Feb
Karditsa
0 : 1
Iraklis FC
22 Feb
Asteras Tripolis B
1 : 0
Karditsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 18 13 5 0 34:13 44
2 Niki Volos 18 11 6 1 41:10 39
3 Karditsa 18 12 3 3 25:10 39
4 Asteras Tripolis B 18 9 5 4 25:17 32
5 PAOK B 18 7 3 8 25:23 24
6 Kavala 18 6 5 7 16:22 23
7 Chrisoupolis 18 5 3 10 13:21 18
8 Kampaniakos 18 4 3 11 12:32 15
9 Giannina 18 2 4 12 10:24 10
10 Makedonikos Neapolis 18 1 3 14 8:37 6
Promotion - Super League 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 18 16 2 0 44:10 50
2 Panionios 18 13 4 1 28:8 43
3 Marko 18 9 4 5 21:13 31
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 18 8 3 7 23:26 27
5 Athens Kallithea 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Ellas Syrou 18 6 6 6 25:18 24
7 PAE Egaleo 18 4 5 9 14:22 17
8 Ilioupoli 18 4 3 11 14:29 15
9 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 18 3 3 12 11:28 12
10 Panargiakos 18 0 5 13 8:38 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 (Relegation Group)