Sport Picks
Kavala vs Panathinaikos
Greece
Greek Cup 2025/2026 Dimotiko Stadio Anthi Karagianni, Kavala 
Match Events
8'
8'
Sub
Swiderski K. In: Pantovic M.
Out: Swiderski K.
18'
18'
Mladenovic F.
28'
28'
Sub
Pantovic M. In: Bokos I. G.
Out: Pantovic M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Panathinaikos advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Panathinaikos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Panathinaikos carry the better recent record into this one.
- Kavala are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Panathinaikos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Panathinaikos, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kavala Clean Sheet 16%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kavala | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 17, 2025 Greek Cup
Kavala vs Panathinaikos
1:2
Mar 25, 2012 Super League
Kavala vs Panathinaikos
0:0
Sep 24, 2011 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Kavala
0:0
Jan 16, 2011 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Kavala
4:2
Sep 18, 2010 Super League
Kavala vs Panathinaikos
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kavala Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Panathinaikos Compare
Top Goalscorer Mladenovic F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Taborda V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kavala 36 / 100
Panathinaikos 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kavala Panathinaikos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kavala scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Panathinaikos conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Kavala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kavala VS Panathinaikos
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.8 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kavala
(Home) 26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2 Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1 Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1 Kavala
08 Apr
Kampaniakos
2 : 0 Kavala
05 Apr
Kavala
2 : 1 PAOK B
Page 1 of 7
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2 Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1 Makedonikos Neapolis
05 Apr
Kavala
2 : 1 PAOK B
28 Feb
Kavala
3 : 0 Giannina
22 Feb
Kavala
0 : 0 Kampaniakos
Page 1 of 4
Panathinaikos
(Away) 05 Aug
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 CSKA 1948 Sofia
30 Jul
Panathinaikos
2 : 2 Paks
23 Jul
Paks
1 : 2 Panathinaikos
15 Jul
Rapid Vienna
4 : 1 Panathinaikos
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3 : 0 Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Paks
1 : 2 Panathinaikos
15 Jul
Rapid Vienna
4 : 1 Panathinaikos
04 Jul
Ajax
1 : 3 Panathinaikos
01 Jul
Helmond Sport
0 : 4 Panathinaikos
13 May
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0 Panathinaikos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Levadiakos | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 3 | AEK | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 12 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Aris | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 7 | Volos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 8 | PAOK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Panetolikos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Iraklis FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Athens Kallithea | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 15 | Ellas Syrou | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 3 |
| 16 | AEL Larissa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 1 |
| 17 | Kavala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Marko | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 19 | Ilioupoli | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 0 |
| 20 | PAE Egaleo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
