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Kawasaki Frontale vs Chiba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki
Kawasaki Frontale Logo

Kawasaki Frontale

2 - 1
FT
Chiba Logo

Chiba

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Yamamoto Y.
Assist: Wakizaka Y.
8'
Issaka Z.
56'
Sub
Miura S. In: Sasaki A.
Out: Miura S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kawasaki Frontale in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kawasaki Frontale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Kawasaki Frontale
20%
Draws
19%
Chiba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Kawasaki Frontale have won more games recently than Chiba.
  • Kawasaki Frontale are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kawasaki Frontale have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 16%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kawasaki Frontale Chiba
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.39 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Chiba
4:2
Apr 25, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Chiba
2:1
Feb 15, 2026 J1 League
Chiba vs Kawasaki Frontale
0:1
Jul 21, 2021 Emperors Cup
Kawasaki Frontale vs Chiba
2:1
Sep 22, 2016 Emperors Cup
Kawasaki Frontale vs Chiba
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kawasaki Frontale Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamamoto Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva Barbosa M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kawasaki Frontale 75 / 100
Chiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kawasaki Frontale Chiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kawasaki Frontale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiba has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kawasaki Frontale remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Kawasaki Frontale's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kawasaki Frontale VS Chiba
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kawasaki Frontale

(Home)
07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3
Kashima Antlers
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 6

Chiba

(Away)
07 Oct
Okayama
1 : 0
Chiba
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2
Chiba
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
Chiba
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1
Chiba
09 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
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Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
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Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)