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Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki
Kawasaki Frontale Logo

Kawasaki Frontale

0 - 1
FT
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Logo

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Maruyama Y.
37'
Kawabe H.
44' Event
Nakamura S.
Assist: Matsumoto T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this J1 League 2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Kawasaki Frontale
15%
Draws
41%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanfrecce Hiroshima lately — more wins on the board than Kawasaki Frontale.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Sanfrecce Hiroshima taking it.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 10%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kawasaki Frontale Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.45 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:1
Jun 6, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
May 30, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
May 31, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kawasaki Frontale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakamura S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kawasaki Frontale 14 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kawasaki Frontale Sanfrecce Hiroshima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kawasaki Frontale has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kawasaki Frontale found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kawasaki Frontale VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kawasaki Frontale

(Home)
07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3
Kashima Antlers
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 6

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Away)
07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0
Iwaki
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

3rd place
Cerezo Osaka 5
FC Tokyo 3
Nagoya Grampus 3
Machida Zelvia 4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Gamba Osaka 5
Verdy 3
Okayama 3
Urawa Reds 1
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 4
Kyoto 3
Kashiwa Reysol 6
V-Varen Nagasaki 2
Mito 0
Avispa Fukuoka 4
Chiba 3