Sport Picks

Philippines

PFL Rizal Memorial Stadium

Maharlika Manila

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kaya FC play Maharlika Manila in the PFL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kaya FC averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Maharlika Manila averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Kaya FC won 5, Maharlika Manila won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 11, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Kaya FC and 1.94 for Maharlika Manila. This points to a Kaya FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Kaya FC

15%

Draws

39%

Maharlika Manila

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaya FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Kaya FC picked up more points recently compared to Maharlika Manila.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Kaya FC Clean Sheet 10%

Maharlika Manila Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kaya FC	Maharlika Manila
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	15
Draws	3	3
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	2.27	2.1
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 PFL

Kaya FC vs Maharlika Manila

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

Jan 17, 2026 PFL

Maharlika Manila vs Kaya FC

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Feb 22, 2025 PFL

Maharlika Manila vs Kaya FC

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Oct 19, 2024 PFL

Kaya FC vs Maharlika Manila

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 0 - 0

4:1

Apr 21, 2024 PFL

Maharlika Manila vs Kaya FC

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

1:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaya FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Myrbakk J.

3 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Maharlika Manila Compare

Top Goalscorer De Gracia H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.62

Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaya FC 43 / 100

Maharlika Manila 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kaya FC Maharlika Manila

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kaya FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kaya FC attacking → ← attacking Maharlika Manila

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaya FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Maharlika Manila let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Kaya FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maharlika Manila lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 48

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.88

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manila Digger	20	17	3	0	103:13	54
2	Taguig	20	17	1	2	84:9	52
3	Cebu FC	20	13	3	4	70:21	42
4	Kaya FC	20	13	2	5	68:13	41
5	Stallion	20	9	6	5	58:22	33
6	Davao Aguilas	20	10	2	8	45:28	32
7	Maharlika Manila	20	9	2	9	43:35	29
8	Don Bosco Garelli	20	5	0	15	32:74	15
9	Tuloy	20	3	2	15	27:119	11
10	Mendiola FC 1991	20	2	1	17	13:99	7
11	Philippine Army	20	0	2	18	14:124	2