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Kayanza United vs Green Farmers

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primus League game between Kayanza United and Green Farmers finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kayanza United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kayanza United
6%
Draws
4%
Green Farmers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kayanza United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kayanza United come out ahead of Green Farmers on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kayanza United a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kayanza United Clean Sheet 20%
Green Farmers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayanza United Green Farmers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 1
Draws 11 4
Losses 12 25
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Green Farmers
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Primus League
Green Farmers vs Kayanza United
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayanza United 85 / 100
Green Farmers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayanza United Green Farmers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Green Farmers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Green Farmers has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Kayanza United scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kayanza United VS Green Farmers
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 4.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aigle Noir30218162:2571
2Musongati30178542:2159
3Flambeau du Centre30168642:2356
4Royal Vision301721147:3153
5Rukinzo30148849:2850
6Vital'O30148845:2750
7Bumamuru30147947:3349
8Muzinga301110937:3843
9Olympic Star301091136:3539
10Kayanza United308121040:4536
11Le Messager Ngozi30891331:3333
12Ngozi City30891337:4333
13Inter Star30881437:4232
14Dynamik30851735:5829
15Garage Express30391815:6118
16Green Farmers30142525:847