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Kayanza United vs Ngozi City

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
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AI Match Summary

The Primus League game between Kayanza United and Ngozi City finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kayanza United
28%
Draws
22%
Ngozi City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kayanza United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ngozi City come out ahead of Kayanza United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kayanza United a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kayanza United Clean Sheet 10%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayanza United Ngozi City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Ngozi City
0:0
Sep 18, 2025 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Kayanza United
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Ngozi City
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Kayanza United
2:1
Feb 15, 2020 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Ngozi City
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayanza United 47 / 100
Ngozi City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayanza United Ngozi City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kayanza United's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ngozi City let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Kayanza United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ngozi City's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kayanza United VS Ngozi City
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aigle Noir30218162:2571
2Musongati30178542:2159
3Flambeau du Centre30168642:2356
4Royal Vision301721147:3153
5Rukinzo30148849:2850
6Vital'O30148845:2750
7Bumamuru30147947:3349
8Muzinga301110937:3843
9Olympic Star301091136:3539
10Kayanza United308121040:4536
11Le Messager Ngozi30891331:3333
12Ngozi City30891337:4333
13Inter Star30881437:4232
14Dynamik30851735:5829
15Garage Express30391815:6118
16Green Farmers30142525:847