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Kayserispor vs Nigde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026 RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu, Kayseri
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Match Events

3' Event
Tuci I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Kayserispor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kayserispor
15%
Draws
46%
Nigde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Nigde's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Kayserispor have produced (1.07).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Kayserispor, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Kayserispor Clean Sheet 68%
Nigde Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayserispor Nigde
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Turkish Cup
Kayserispor vs Nigde
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kayserispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuci I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Nigde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayserispor 41 / 100
Nigde 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayserispor Nigde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kayserispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kayserispor scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Nigde conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Kayserispor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kayserispor VS Nigde
1.38 Goals Scored 1.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Kayserispor

(Home)
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
29 Aug
Kayserispor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
Page 1 of 6

Nigde

(Away)
07 Oct
Nigde
0 : 2
Agri 1970
03 Oct
Silifke
0 : 3
Nigde
27 Sept
Nigde
2 : 1
Bitlis 1916
20 Sept
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Nigde
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Karakopru 7
Hakkari Zap 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0
Bitlis 1916 3
TBD -
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Rizespor -
Duzcespor -
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Pendikspor -
Corluspor -
TBD -
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Ayvalikgucu -
Silifke -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor 2
Kilis Bld. 1
TBD -
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Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
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Etimesgut 0
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 7
Bilecik Sogut Spor Kulubu 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
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Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
Yozgat 1
Fatsa Bld. 2
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Vanspor FK -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Izmir Coruhlu 2
Isparta 32 Spor 4
Kirsehir SK 0
Silivrispor -
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Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
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Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 3
Adanaspor AS 0
Kurtalanspor 1
Sanliurfaspor 4
Kestel Cilekspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1
Fethiyespor 2
Soke 1970 0
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Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 8
Sirnak 0
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Mazidagi -
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Bartinspor 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 3
Konyaspor -
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Elazigspor -
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12 Bingol Spor 3
Mardin 1969 0
Arnavutkoy Bl. 2
Buyukcekmece Gucu 3
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Karacabey Bld. -
Malatya 5
Yeni Malatyaspor 0
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Adana 01 -
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Kocaelispor -
Kirklarelispor 1
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
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Beykoz Anadolu -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gemlikspor 0
Gaziantep -
TBD -
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Ankaragucu 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 3
Guzide Gebzespor 6
Bulvarspor 2
Kars 36 Spor 0
24Erzincanspor 1
Bulancakspor 2
Hopaspor 1
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Igdir FK -
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Orduspor 1967 -
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Erbaaspor 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
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Pazarspor -
Sakaryaspor -
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Kucukcekmece -
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Inegolspor 2
Ezinespor 0
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Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
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Bayburt Ozel Idare 0
Giresunspor 7
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52 Orduspor -
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Sariyer -
Boluspor -
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Kahta 2
Iskenderunspor 1
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Adanademirspor -
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Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
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Agri 1970 -
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Batman Petrolspor -
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F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
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Edirnespor Genclik 0
Soma Spor 3
1926 Polatli Belediye 1
Cankaya FK 2
Amasyaspor -
TBD -
Trabzon FK 4
Serhat Ardahanspor 0
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Osmaniyespor 0
Karaman FK 2
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 1
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Umraniyespor -
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Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
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Kutahyaspor -
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Altinordu -
Karsiyaka -
TBD -
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Altay 0
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Alanyaspor -
Bucak Belediyesi 1
Kepez Bld. 2
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 2
Nazillispor 0
Sivasspor -
TBD -
Cayeli SK 1
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 2
Bornova 1877 3
Afyonspor 0
Aliaga 2
Inegol Kafkas 1
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Serik Spor -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 2
Turk Metal 1963 0
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Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
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Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0
Nigde 2
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
Kirikkale FK -
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Manisa FK -
Ankaraspor 1
Eskisehirspor 2
Alanya 1221 0
Muglaspor 3
1074 Cankirispor 0
Ankara Demirspor 3
TBD -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
Tire 2021 FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodrumspor -
Quarter-finals
Karakopru 2
Bitlis 1916 1
TBD -
Rizespor -
Duzcespor 3
Pendikspor 4
Corluspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1
Silifke 7
K. Istklalspor 1
TBD -
Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 2
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
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TBD -
Kastamonuspor 3
Fatsa Bld. 4
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Izmir Coruhlu 0
Isparta 32 Spor 3
Silivrispor 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
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TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 2
Sanliurfaspor 0
Kestel Cilekspor 0
Fethiyespor 1
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Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 5
Mazidagi 0
Menemenspor 2
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Konyaspor -
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Elazigspor 2
12 Bingol Spor 3
Buyukcekmece Gucu 0
Karacabey Bld. 2
Malatya 3
Adana 01 2
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Kocaelispor -
Galata Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 5
Balikesirspor 1
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gaziantep -
TBD -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Guzide Gebzespor 0
24Erzincanspor 0
Bulancakspor 2
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Orduspor 1967 -
TBD -
Erbaaspor 2
Pazarspor 0
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece 1
Inegolspor 3
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Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
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TBD -
Giresunspor 1
52 Orduspor 2
TBD -
Sariyer -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
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Kahta 2
Adanademirspor 1
TBD -
Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
TBD -
Agri 1970 4
Batman Petrolspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
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Soma Spor 1
Cankaya FK 3
Amasyaspor 0
Trabzon FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Karaman FK 0
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor 3
Altinordu 1
Karsiyaka 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
TBD -
Alanyaspor -
Kepez Bld. 1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Sivasspor 2
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 1
Bornova 1877 0
Aliaga 6
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Hatayspor 2
Erciyes 38 3
TBD -
Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
Nigde 3
Aksaray Bld. 1
Kirikkale FK 0
Manisa FK 2
Eskisehirspor 0
Muglaspor 3
Ankara Demirspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 3
Tire 2021 FK 0
Bodrumspor 1
Semi-finals
Karakopru 0
Rizespor 3
Pendikspor 3
Corluspor 2
Silifke 3
Amedspor 0
Antalyaspor 3
Bursaspor 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. 3
Vanspor FK 4
Isparta 32 Spor 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 0
Fethiyespor 3
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 1
Menemenspor 0
Konyaspor 4
12 Bingol Spor 2
Karacabey Bld. 3
Malatya 1
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Beykoz Anadolu 1
Yesil Yalova FK 3
Gaziantep 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 0
Bulancakspor 1
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 4
Erbaaspor 2
Sakaryaspor 4
Inegolspor 0
TBD -
Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
52 Orduspor 0
Sariyer 2
Boluspor -
TBD -
Kahta 3
Kasimpasa 1
Erokspor 3
Agri 1970 0
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
Cankaya FK 2
Trabzon FK 0
Kahramanmarasspor 4
Umraniyespor 0
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK 3
Kutahyaspor 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
Alanyaspor 2
Kepez Bld. 1
Sivasspor 3
Aliaga 4
Serik Spor 3
Erciyes 38 2
Keciorengucu 5
Kayserispor 1
Nigde 0
Manisa FK 0
Muglaspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Bodrumspor 5
Final
Rizespor 6
Pendikspor 1
Silifke 0
Antalyaspor 1
Trabzonspor 2
Vanspor FK 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1
Goztepe 0
Fethiyespor 4
Bandirmaspor 1
Musspor 1
Konyaspor 4
Karacabey Bld. 1
Kocaelispor 2
Yesil Yalova FK 0
Gaziantep 2
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 2
Sakaryaspor 0
Genclerbirligi 5
Istanbulspor AS 6
Sariyer 0
Boluspor 2
Kahta 1
Erokspor 2
F. Karagumruk 5
Eyupspor 6
Cankaya FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Erzurumspor FK 3
Corum FK 0
Alanyaspor 5
Sivasspor 1
Aliaga 3
Keciorengucu 2
Kayserispor 0
Muglaspor 1
Bodrumspor 2