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Kazincbarcika vs Paks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup Kolorcity Aréna, Kazincbarcika
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Palincsar M.
37' Event
Hahn J.
60' Event
Silye E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kazincbarcika
30%
Draws
47%
Paks
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Paks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Paks arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Paks, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paks here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kazincbarcika Clean Sheet 14%
Paks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kazincbarcika Paks
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Hungarian Cup
Kazincbarcika vs Paks
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 NB I.
Paks vs Kazincbarcika
5:1
Dec 14, 2025 NB I.
Kazincbarcika vs Paks
0:2
Aug 29, 2025 NB I.
Paks vs Kazincbarcika
3:0
Mar 1, 2022 Hungarian Cup
Kazincbarcika vs Paks
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kazincbarcika Compare

Top Goalscorer Palincsar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Paks Compare

Top Goalscorer Hahn J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silye E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kazincbarcika 31 / 100
Paks 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kazincbarcika Paks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kazincbarcika scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Paks let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kazincbarcika stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kazincbarcika VS Paks
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kazincbarcika

(Home)
19 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
4 : 1
Kazincbarcika
12 Sept
Kazincbarcika
1 : 2
Paks
05 Sept
Kazincbarcika
2 : 2
Kecskemeti TE
31 Aug
Szeged-Csanad GA
1 : 1
Kazincbarcika
23 Aug
Csakvari
0 : 2
Kazincbarcika
Page 1 of 6

Paks

(Away)
19 Sept
Kisvarda FC
0 : 1
Paks
12 Sept
Kazincbarcika
1 : 2
Paks
05 Sept
Paks
2 : 4
Debrecen
29 Aug
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Paks
21 Aug
Paks
2 : 0
Ujpest
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ikarus 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 3
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Karcagi -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Bicskei 3
Sarisapi Banyasz 1
Penzugyor SE 1
Harta SE 2
Albidok 0
Debreceni EAC 5
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
Salgotarjani BTC 0
Mateszalkai MTK 2
Soroksar -
TBD -
Heviz 3
Balatonfuredi 1
Csepel UFC 0
Csepel 3
Epitok 2
Villanyi 3
Szabadkikoto 0
Godollo 2
TBD -
Debrecen -
DVTK -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Kormendi 1
Mezoors 8
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Pecsi MFC 3
Sarbogard 0
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Balatoni Vasas 0
Nagykozar KSE 1
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Emodi 2
Tarpa 1
Ibrany SE 0
Ozd-Sajovolgye 2
Majosi 7
III. Keruleti TVE 2
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Kaposvar 1
PTE-PEAC 0
Mezocsat 3
Hatvan FC 5
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bajai 2
Csor FC 0
TBD -
Honved -
Ujdombrad SE 0
Cigand SE 3
Felsopakony 1
FC Dabas 3
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Szentlorinc SE -
TBD -
Gyulai Termal 5
BKV Elore 1
TFSE-Tent Budapest 2
Siofok 0
TBD -
Vasas -
Nagykanizsa FC -
TBD -
Monori 3
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Andrashida TE 2
Sopron 8
Janoshalmi 0
Szegedi 5
Sandorfalvi 1
Szolnoki MAV 3
Ugod 0
Komaromi VSE 4
Karancslapujto 5
Edeleny 0
Nagybatony 0
Tiszaujvaros 1
Intretech Kapuvari SE 1
Tatabanya 2
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Bony 0
Lebeny SE 2
Algyo SK 0
ESMTK Budapest 3
VSC Veszprem 0
Haladas VSE 1
Senyo 0
Tiszafuredi 1
Szeged-Csanad GA -
TBD -
Erdi 0
Ivancsa 3
Mori SE 0
Dorogi FC 7
TBD -
Ujpest -
1/32-finals
Dunaharaszti MTK 1
Zalaegerszegi 5
Karcagi 1
Gyor 5
Bicskei 1
Harta SE 0
Debreceni EAC 0
Ferencvaros 7
Kozarmisleny SE 3
Mateszalkai MTK 1
Soroksar 6
Heviz 1
Csepel 3
Villanyi 1
Godollo 2
Debrecen 3
DVTK 4
Videoton 1
Mezoors 1
Puskas Academy 8
Pecsi MFC 3
Tiszakecske 2
Nagykozar KSE 0
Kisvarda FC 9
Emodi 0
Ozd-Sajovolgye 5
Majosi 1
Nyiregyhaza 8
Kaposvar 4
Hatvan FC 1
Ajka 3
BVSC-Zuglo 2
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Csakvari 0
Bajai 0
Honved 7
Cigand SE 3
FC Dabas 2
Kazincbarcika 1
Paks 2
Szentlorinc SE 1
Gyulai Termal 0
TFSE-Tent Budapest 1
Vasas 3
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Monori 2
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
MTK Budapest 2
Sopron 6
Szegedi 3
Szolnoki MAV 3
Komaromi VSE 1
Karancslapujto 2
Tiszaujvaros 4
Tatabanya 4
Kecskemeti TE 5
Lebeny SE 1
ESMTK Budapest 7
Haladas VSE 4
Tiszafuredi 0
Szeged-Csanad GA 4
Ivancsa 0
Dorogi FC 0
Ujpest 2
1/16-finals
Zalaegerszegi -
Gyor -
Bicskei -
Ferencvaros -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Soroksar -
Csepel -
Debrecen -
DVTK -
Puskas Academy -
Pecsi MFC -
Kisvarda FC -
Ozd-Sajovolgye -
Nyiregyhaza -
Kaposvar -
Ajka -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Honved -
Cigand SE -
Paks -
Szentlorinc SE -
Vasas -
Monori -
MTK Budapest -
Sopron -
Szolnoki MAV -
Tiszaujvaros -
Kecskemeti TE -
ESMTK Budapest -
Haladas VSE -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Ujpest -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -