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Stadium Background

Keciorengucu vs Sakaryaspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Aktepe Stadium, Ankara
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Demir M. In: Pena S.
Out: Demir M.
13'
Cakir B.
15' Event
Yildirim P.
Assist: Yavuz S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Keciorengucu
6%
Draws
4%
Sakaryaspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Keciorengucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keciorengucu lately — more wins on the board than Sakaryaspor.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Keciorengucu taking it.
  • Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Keciorengucu Clean Sheet 20%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keciorengucu Sakaryaspor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Sakaryaspor
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Keciorengucu
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Sakaryaspor
2:3
Aug 9, 2024 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Keciorengucu
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Keciorengucu
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keciorengucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Diouf M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sakaryaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildirim P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keciorengucu 85 / 100
Sakaryaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keciorengucu Sakaryaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Keciorengucu scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Sakaryaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Keciorengucu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keciorengucu VS Sakaryaspor
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Keciorengucu

(Home)
07 May
Corum FK
1 : 0
Keciorengucu
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4
Keciorengucu
26 Apr
Keciorengucu
2 : 1
Manisa FK
19 Apr
Erokspor
1 : 0
Keciorengucu
12 Apr
Keciorengucu
0 : 0
Serik Spor
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Sakaryaspor

(Away)
01 May
Manisa FK
5 : 0
Sakaryaspor
26 Apr
Sakaryaspor
0 : 4
Corum FK
18 Apr
Hatayspor
1 : 1
Sakaryaspor
13 Apr
Sakaryaspor
1 : 2
Erokspor
08 Apr
Umraniyespor
2 : 0
Sakaryaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)