Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Keciorengucu vs Sakaryaspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Aktepe Stadium, Ankara
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Demir M. In: Pena S.
Out: Demir M.
13'
Cakir B.
15' Event
Yildirim P.
Assist: Yavuz S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Keciorengucu
20%
Draws
46%
Sakaryaspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sakaryaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keciorengucu lately — more wins on the board than Sakaryaspor.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Keciorengucu Clean Sheet 16%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keciorengucu Sakaryaspor
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Sakaryaspor
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Keciorengucu
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Sakaryaspor
2:3
Aug 9, 2024 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Keciorengucu
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Keciorengucu
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keciorengucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Diouf M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sakaryaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildirim P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keciorengucu 31 / 100
Sakaryaspor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keciorengucu Sakaryaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Keciorengucu scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Sakaryaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Keciorengucu went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Keciorengucu VS Sakaryaspor
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Keciorengucu

(Home)
03 Oct
Genclerbirligi
0 : 1
Keciorengucu
19 Sept
Keciorengucu
1 : 1
Sivasspor
12 Sept
Vanspor FK
1 : 1
Keciorengucu
05 Sept
Keciorengucu
3 : 0
Sariyer
01 Sept
Boluspor
0 : 2
Keciorengucu
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Sakaryaspor

(Away)
03 Oct
Kirklarelispor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
27 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Kutahyaspor
20 Sept
K. Istklalspor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
13 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Adana 01
06 Sept
Trabzon FK
2 : 3
Sakaryaspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erzurumspor FK 38 23 12 3 82:27 81
2 Amedspor 38 21 11 6 81:42 74
3 Erokspor 38 21 11 6 81:35 74
4 Corum FK 38 21 8 9 63:39 71
5 Bodrumspor 38 18 10 10 71:39 64
6 Pendikspor 38 16 15 7 58:33 63
7 Keciorengucu 38 16 12 10 73:43 60
8 Bandirmaspor 38 16 12 10 47:34 60
9 Manisa FK 38 16 7 15 57:56 55
10 Sivasspor 38 14 11 13 47:43 53
11 Istanbulspor AS 38 13 13 12 57:55 52
12 Sariyer 38 15 7 16 44:44 52
13 Igdir FK 38 13 11 14 52:54 50
14 Vanspor FK 38 13 10 15 52:47 49
15 Boluspor 38 14 6 18 61:57 48
16 Umraniyespor 38 13 7 18 47:51 46
17 Serik Spor 38 11 6 21 44:75 39
18 Sakaryaspor 38 8 10 20 45:72 34
19 Hatayspor 38 2 8 28 33:102 14
20 Adanademirspor 38 1 3 34 22:169 -54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)