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Keflavik vs Einherji

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2009 Keflavíkurvöllur, Keflavík
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Keflavik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Keflavik
15%
Draws
36%
Einherji
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keflavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Keflavik come out ahead of Einherji on wins alone.
  • Model gives Keflavik a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Keflavik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Keflavik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 16%
Einherji Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik Einherji
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 0
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2009 Icelandic Cup
Keflavik vs Einherji
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik 84 / 100
Einherji 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik Einherji

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keflavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keflavik scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Einherji let in goals in 82% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Einherji registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik

(Home)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 7

Einherji

(Away)
21 Mar
Einherji
2 : 5
Neisti
29 Mar
Einherji
0 : 2
Sindri
21 Apr
Hottur / Huginn
3 : 2
Einherji
08 Apr
Boltafelag Nordfjardar
0 : 2
Einherji
24 Apr
Hottur / Huginn
7 : 1
Einherji
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Fram 2
Njardvik 1
Akranes 1
Grindavik 3
Fjardabyggd 1
Haukar 0
Stjarnan 3
Fylkir 7
Valur 3
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 1
KA Akureyri 3
Vidir 1
Throttur 0
Grotta 0
KR Reykjavik 2
Keflavik 2
Einherji 0
Olafsvik 1
Thor Akureyri 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Carl 0
Hafnarfjordur 3
Kopavogur 2
Fjolnir 0
KV Reykjavik 1
Reynir 2
Hottur 3
Selfoss 2
Hvot 0
Breidablik 2
1/8-finals
Fram 1
Grindavik 0
Fjardabyggd 1
Fylkir 6
Valur 3
KA Akureyri 2
Vidir 0
KR Reykjavik 2
Keflavik 2
Thor Akureyri 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Hafnarfjordur 3
Kopavogur 5
Reynir 2
Hottur 1
Breidablik 3
Quarter-finals
Fram 2
Fylkir 0
Valur 1
KR Reykjavik 3
Keflavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 1
Kopavogur 0
Breidablik 1
Semi-finals
Fram 1
KR Reykjavik 0
Keflavik 2
Breidablik 3
Final
Fram 2
Breidablik 3